California Recall Election Odds
A chart showing the polling averages since July 14 for whether to keep California. July 14 July 24 Aug.
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14 Election Day 35 40 45 50 55 Keep 543 Keep 543 Remove 420 Remove 420 Sept.
California recall election odds. California Governor Gavin Newsom is on course to defeat the recall effort on September 14 after his odds of beating the attempt to remove him were slashed over the past week. An updating average of 2021 California gubernatorial recall election polls accounting for each polls quality recency and sample size. A significant number of those likely to vote in the recall election 31 said they would not choose a replacement candidate including nearly half of likely Democratic voters.
8 Keep 123 Sept.
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